After the Crisis: Three Futures for India and Pakistan

This is the closing report in the series, and it turns from what has happened to what comes next. It asks where the India-Pakistan relationship is heading a year after the April-May 2025 crisis, now that the relationship has been stripped to almost nothing, with no trade, a suspended Indus Waters Treaty, downgraded missions, and severed people-to-people ties.

Crisis as Catalyst: Pakistan’s Internal Political Transformation, 2025–2026

This report is the second in the series and shifts from hardware to power. It examines how the April–May 2025 crisis with India catalyzed the Pakistan Army’s consolidation of domestic control under Asim Munir. Tracking developments chronologically across three fronts- military, political, and judicial- it argues that the crisis let Munir move from expanding power within Pakistan’s hybrid system to changing the system itself.

Preparing for the Next War: Inside Pakistan’s Bid to Reset the Balance with India

This report examines how the 7–10 May 2025 India-Pakistan conflict has reshaped Pakistan’s military thinking, procurement, and higher defense organization. Focusing on the period since the crisis, it traces the relative demotion of nuclear “full-spectrum deterrence” in favor of a conventional “Quid Pro Quo Plus” posture built for limited, stand-off, non-contact warfare. It assesses service-by-service acquisitions across the Air Force, Navy, and Army.