Trump announces Iran-Israel ceasefire: Why Tehran gave ‘early notice’ of its attack on US base in Qatar

That Tehran telegraphed its retaliatory attack to the Americans indicates that it wants to retain space for negotiations and recuperate. Hours later, Donald Trump announced the Iran and Israel have […]
After Iran, North Korea doubles down on deterrence

Pyongyang may believe that the US is more likely to intervene in countries that lack nuclear weapons or unable to develop them.
Understanding Pakistan’s balancing act on Iran

Amid the Iran-Israel conflict, Islamabad is playing a delicate, deliberate balancing act informed by a complicated bilateral relationship with Tehran, need for American patronage, and anxieties about India
Can Khamenei survive Operation Rising Lion?

Each round of Israeli attacks in recent years has exposed the depth of Tel Aviv’s penetration into Iran’s establishment. The ability to target individual leaders and nuclear scientists, and even […]
Arab states – and peace – are more important than Iran or Israel

Success of moderate Arab states is critical for India’s interests in the region. Delhi must join hands with them in preventing the disastrous alternative of total war between Iran and […]
Netanyahu’s regime change fantasy for Iran

His effort to build a new order in the Middle East is unlikely to succeed, even as the old one is breaking down. The unintended consequences of his Iran gambit […]