Blind Spot
The Blindspot offers a unique lens on international affairs and foreign policy. As its name suggests, it illuminates overlooked perspectives and under-explored issues in global discourse.
Troubled Waters: India-Bangladesh Relations in a Post-Hasina Era
Recent protests in Bangladesh over the Teesta River dispute highlight growing tensions in India-Bangladesh water relations. The BNP's criticism of India and the interim government, coupled with upcoming Ganges Waters Treaty renewal in 2026, presents complex diplomatic challenges. Technical solutions remain hindered by political complications in both countries.
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Recalibrating Priorities: Modi’s First Summit with Trump 2.0
PM Modi's first summit with re-elected President Trump focused heavily on trade and defense cooperation, with India taking proactive steps to address US concerns about trade imbalances. While achieving progress on bilateral commerce and energy partnerships, strategic alignment on China remains unclear, reflecting a potentially significant shift in US priorities under Trump 2.0.
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Delhi’s Taliban Pivot: Russia Courts India as Regional Power Dynamics Shift
Russia's Foreign Minister Lavrov proposed India's inclusion in the Afghanistan Quadrilateral Group (with Russia, China, Iran, and Pakistan), following India's historic diplomatic meeting with the Taliban. This invitation comes as India cautiously shifts its Taliban policy, while Pakistan's influence in Afghanistan wanes. However, India may prefer maintaining bilateral engagement over joining multilateral frameworks.
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India’s Critical Minerals Push: New Mission to Counter China Dependence
India announces National Critical Minerals Mission to reduce its heavy mineral import dependence on China (82% for lithium). The initiative includes launching a Mining Tenement System, supporting tech startups, and planning financial incentives across production stages. Mixed results from recent auctions highlight technological and capacity constraints.
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The Trump Effect: Navigating U.S.-India Relations in an ‘America First’ Era
Trump's second presidential term signals shifting US-India dynamics, with early bilateral engagement but potential challenges from his "America First" agenda. Key issues include immigration restrictions, trade tariffs, and Indo-Pacific strategy. Despite opportunities in defense cooperation, Trump's unpredictable China stance and internal policy divisions suggest India should adopt a cautious approach.
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China’s New Brahmaputra Dam: Fresh Worries for India Amidst Rapprochement
China has approved construction of the world's largest hydropower dam on the Brahmaputra River, generating concerns in India. The project, estimated at USD 127 billion, will produce 300 billion kilowatt-hours annually—triple the capacity of Three Gorges dam. While China promises no negative downstream impact, India remains wary of strategic water vulnerabilities.
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We believe that understanding why things change in this world determines our ability to predict when they will change. Our focus is on geopolitical shifts worldwide, with a keen eye on Southern Asia.